Welcome to the last DL Top 25 before the bowls begin. And I’m rushing to get this out because they start tomorrow. After this poll, there will be one more at the end of the season with recaps for all 25 teams.
1. Alabama (13-0) Previous: 1
Best win: Florida | Good wins: Virginia Tech, LSU, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Arkansas | Losses (best to worst): None
Dear college football poll voters: I called this number one a good four weeks ago. Granted, this poll is still just a reflection of past accomplishment and not a prediction. Sometimes that just happens to work out. My question, though, is if this is a good argument for ranking teams based on their accomplishments and not preconceived ideals of what they are capable of. The list of teams Florida had beaten was not as impressive as Alabama’s list. Anyways. Alabama took care of Florida in the SEC Championship Game. Next comes Alabama’s biggest test – the Texas Longhorns. To those of you who think this game will be a piece of cake for the Crimson Tide, think again. And it’s no advantage that Alabama is sitting around for a month thinking about a big win and Texas is sitting around for a month thinking about a near-miss.
2. Texas (13-0) Previous: 3
Best win: Oklahoma State | Good wins: Nebraska, Texas Tech, Missouri, Oklahoma, UCF | Losses (best to worst): None
After going through a stretch of not being sure if Texas would be the team to reach number 2, I did some tinkering to further refine the statistical output I use to help put together my poll. That pushed Texas to the top, along with a big but scary win over Nebraska. As stated above, don’t expect McCoy, Shipley, and company to show up in Pasadena just to lay over.
3. Florida (12-1) Previous: 2
Best win: LSU | Good wins: South Carolina, Tennessee, Troy, Arkansas, Georgia | Losses (best to worst): Alabama
C’mon, it’s not like Florida lost to a bad team. And let’s not kid ourselves. On a good day, they beat Alabama in the same fashion Alabama beat them. No chance they won’t be focused during Tebow’s last game after an embarrassing loss in the SEC Championship Game.
4. Cincinnati (12-0) Previous: 4
Best win: Pittsburgh | Good wins: West Virginia, Oregon State, Fresno State, Rutgers | Losses (best to worst): None
At the end of the day, Cincy just didn’t play enough good teams to make the cut, in spite of an undefeated season in a BCS conference. That’s not fair, and it’s another reason why we need a bonafide playoff (and not just a plus one because most people think they know who deserves to be there).
5. Boise State (12-0) Previous: 6
Best win: Oregon | Good wins: Nevada, Fresno State | Losses (best to worst): None
Ya. Boise moves up to 5th. That Oregon win just looks really good. They’ll get their shot to prove it against TCU.
6. Georgia Tech (11-2) Previous: 8
Best win: Virginia Tech | Good wins: Clemson (twice), North Carolina | Losses (best to worst): Miami, Georgia
Surprise! Tech moves back up to 6th. While the ACC is a little bit down, they aren’t as bad as most people think they are.
7. TCU (12-0) Previous: 5
Best win: BYU | Good wins: Clemson, Utah | Losses (best to worst): None
Sorry, TCU. It’s not that I don’t buy you. You just haven’t proven it to me. Not that you had a chance this year. Another reason we need a playoff. In the mean time, all we can go on is what we have. Sure, you didn’t lose to Miami and Georgia. You didn’t play them either. You did beat Clemson. So did Georgia Tech…twice.
8. Oregon (10-2) Previous: 7
Best win: Oregon State | Good wins: Arizona, Utah, USC, California | Losses (best to worst): Boise State, Stanford
The Ducks still appear to be mighty, with their last win being their best win. Now they get a shot to defend Pac 10 pride in the Rose Bowl.
9. Iowa (10-2) Previous: 9
Best win: Penn State | Good wins: Wisconsin, Arizona | Losses (best to worst): Ohio State, Northwestern
Credit to the BCS for putting Iowa and not Penn State in the Orange Bowl. There is no question the Hawkeyes deserved it more. Now, let’s see if they can make the Big Ten proud. They are usually a good bowl team.
10. Ohio State (10-2) Previous: 10
Best win: Iowa | Good wins: Penn State, Wisconsin, Navy | Losses (best to worst): USC, Purdue
I know. Ohio State still beat Iowa. They also still lost to Purdue. But why should they care if I ranked them lower? They get to go to the Rose Bowl.
11. Penn State (10-2) Previous: 13
Best win: Northwestern | Good wins: Temple | Losses (best to worst): Ohio State, Iowa
Three Big Ten teams in the top 11 is a little surprising, isn’t it? Granted, this probably won’t happen when they expand to twelve teams and actually have to play a slightly tougher schedule. The Nittany Lions have an intriguing bowl game this year against LSU. Neither team has a “great” win this year. However, someone will have one after this one is over.
12. Virginia Tech (9-3) Previous: 11
Best win: Miami | Good wins: Nebraska, East Carolina, Boston College | Losses (best to worst): Alabama, Georgia Tech, North Carolina
I don’t have the Hokies behind Penn State by very much. Tech does have more losses, but they also have more quality wins.
13. Miami (9-3) Previous 12
Best win: Georgia Tech | Good wins: Oklahoma, UCF | Losses (best to worst): Virginia Tech, Clemson, North Carolina
And how about 3 ACC teams in the top 13? The Hurricanes get to challenge the Big Ten in the Champs Sports Bowl – the other Orlando bowl.
14. BYU (10-2) Previous: 20
Best win: Utah | Good wins: BYU | Losses (best to worst): TCU, Florida State
How did BYU end up here? The new formulation I’m doing helps the weaker conference teams some by giving everyone more credit for the less-than-stellar opponents. That loss to Florida State still looks pretty bad.
15. West Virginia (9-3) Previous: 22
Best win: Pittsburgh | Good wins: East Carolina, Rutgers | Losses (best to worst): Cincinnati, Auburn, South Florida
The Mountaineers get a boost from two big wins to close out the regular season. Now they get a ridiculous match up against Florida State in the Gator Bowl. Not saying it’ll be easy. I’m just saying it’s ridiculous.
And now, the rest of the top 25:
16. LSU (9-3) Prev: 14
17. Pittsburgh (9-3) Prev: 17
18. Oklahoma State (9-3) Prev: 18
19. East Carolina (9-4) Prev: NR
20. Wisconsin (9-3) Prev: 19
21. Nebraska (9-4) Prev: NR
22. Villanova (14-1) Prev: 25 – Congrats to ‘Nova – 2009 FCS Champs. They did beat Temple, who is bowling this year
23. Arizona (8-4) Prev: 23
24. Houston (9-3) Prev: NR
25. USC (8-4) Prev: 15
Dropped: California, Oregon State, Arkansas
Next in: Utah, Stanford, California, Texas Tech, Clemson



