We’re now getting into the second half of the college football season, and we have yet another week of exciting match ups, including four games between ranked teams, two of which are between Top 10 foes, plus two more ACC games that are -almost- between ranked teams. National title and conference championship spots are still very much up for grabs at this point in the season.
(7)Oklahoma State at (1)Texas - 2:30pm on ABC (Regional)
The grueling Big 12 schedule continues for the Cowboys and the Longhorns. And who would have looked at this game from the start of the year and expected it to be a match up between #1 and #7? I mean, maybe you could have seen Texas coming on strong, but even they were a preseason 11 - right behind Clemson and Auburn. Hahaha! Anywho, after surviving the Oklahoma game, Texas made easy work of Missouri last week. As impressive OK State has looked thus far, it’s hard to not go with the Longhorns again this week. After all, it would appear they have the better defense. If Texas does survive its third straight game against a team in the top 11, Texas Tech is awaiting next weekend. What a brutal schedule!
My Picks… SU: Texas, ATS (Texas -12.5): Texas
(2)Alabama at Tennessee - 6:45pm on ESPN
Alabama has been continuing the very dangerous trend of letting teams stay in the game in the second half. Granted, Ole Miss probably deserves more credit than they receive for being a decent team. It’s not mere coincidence that they upset Florida and gave Alabama all they wanted. Of course, there is the added pressure of this being a huge rivalry game. It particularly means a lot to Tennessee Coach Phil Fulmer, with several rumors flying about the security of his coaching job as Tennessee continues to have a disappointing season. If UT wants to get to a bowl this year, a win over Wyoming is probably a safe bet, but the rest of the schedule is very much a question mark. Games against South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and Kentucky will be no cake walk. You better believe the Vols will be fired up for this one. The bad news for them is that this Alabama team seems to get up the most for road games.
My Picks… SU: Alabama, ATS (Alabama -6.5): Tennessee
(3)Penn State at (10)Ohio State - 7pm on ABC
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you… the unofficial Big Ten Championship Game. Sorry, Michigan State, you surrendered your chance to participate in your disappointing flop last week. Minnesota, you already lost to OSU too. This game is much more interesting now that Ohio State really broke out last week against Michigan State. Bad news for them, it’s too little too late. This Penn State team is for real, and they proved it last week when they broke out of the first half doldrums and put away Michigan for the first time in nine games. Sure, Michigan is having a down year. But a rivalry is a rivalry. And Penn State. Well, they are…
My Picks… SU: Penn State, ATS (Penn State -2.5): Penn State
(4)Oklahoma at Kansas State - 11:30am on FSN
Where has Oklahoma’s defense gone? Kansas State isn’t that great of a team, but they can put up some points. Oklahoma will win, but it may be closer than most expect it to be.
My Picks… SU: Oklahoma, ATS (Oklahoma -18.5): Kansas State
Kentucky at (5)Florida - 11:30am on Raycom Sports
Injuries are killing Kentucky, with more Wildcats falling off the wagon by the week. Florida, meanwhile, has hit its stride. They’re coming off a bye week after the big LSU blowout. Even with the big game against Florida coming up, I expect the Gators to be focused in this game.
My Picks… SU: Florida, ATS (Florida -24.5): Florida
(6)USC at Arizona - 9:15pm on FSN
With Cal losing to Arizona last week, both Arizona and USC are now part of a four-way tie atop the Pac 10. Though USC has bigger aspirations. Earlier in the season, a lot of people were pointing to this game as a potential upset. That was before Oregon State happened. Now, USC is coming off a huge rout of Washington State. Arizona is riding high too, but they have been inconsistent this season with losses to New Mexico and Stanford along the way. I think USC may struggle a bit but will ultimately take care of things.
My Picks… SU: USC, ATS (USC -16.5): USC
(8)Texas Tech at (19)Kansas - 11am on ESPN
Lost in all of the hoopla surrounding Oklahoma’s win over Kansas was the fact that Kansas actually competed for 3 quarters and Oklahoma didn’t really have the game in hand until late. Texas Tech continues to live life on the wild side. After needing overtime to beat Nebraska, they struggled for much of the game against Texas A&M. There’s little question that a lot of points will be scored. The question is who will score the most. I think Kansas’ defense (don’t laugh) gives them the edge.
My Picks… SU: Kansas, ATS (Kansas -1.5): Kansas
(9)Georgia at (11)LSU - 2:30pm on CBS
This is a good match up between fairly comparable teams. Neither have really blown any BCS teams out but both have been embarrassed by a BCS team at some point in the year. It should definitely be a close game. I’ll take LSU by the skin of their chinny-chin-chin.
My Picks… SU: LSU, ATS (LSU -2.5): Georgia
(12)Utah bye
(13)Boise State at San Jose State - Friday 8pm on ESPN2
This is an important game to determine the front-runner in the WAC. It should turn out to be a defensive battle between the two teams. I’ll take the spread - Boise by a touchdown.
My Picks… SU: Boise State, ATS (Boise State -7): Boise State
(14)South Florida at Louisville - 2:30pm on ESPN GP/360
Well, the loss against Pitt doesn’t sting quite as bad as it did a few weeks ago. Maybe they weren’t so bad after all. Louisville is off to a 4-2 start, but they haven’t really gotten any quality wins. They do have home field advantage, and USF has played a lot of close games. I’ll take another close win for the Bulls.
My Picks… SU: South Florida, ATS (South Florida -4): Louisville
Wyoming at (15)TCU - 5pm on The Mtn
TCU is riding high following a big upset victory over BYU last week. Wyoming is now on a 4-game losing streak that hasn’t been helped by facing pretty tough competition. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, the competition will be just as tough this week. The Horned Frogs should have an easy one this weekend.
My Picks… SU: TCU, ATS (TCU -31): Wyoming
Colorado at (16)Missouri - 5:30pm on FSN
The last two weeks have pretty much gone as bad as they could for Missouri. Colorado is coming off a nail-biter of a win against Kansas State. Missouri still has Chase Daniel and a high-powered offense, though. I think some people underestimate Colorado’s defense. I’ll take Mizzou straight up, but not with that spread.
My Picks… SU: Missouri, ATS (Missouri -22): Colorado
Rutgers at (17)Pittsburgh - 2:30pm on ESPN 360
Pitt continues to impress and is now one game away from bowl eligibility. Rutgers has actually been efforting to salvage an otherwise wasted season. I actually wouldn’t be shocked to see this game stay pretty close. Rutgers has been scrappy ever since the West Virginia game. Granted, I don’t equate Pitt to Cincy or UConn, but I still think Greg Shiano’s crew won’t give up on him.
My Picks… SU: Pittsburgh, ATS (Pittsburgh -9.5): Pittsburgh
UNLV at (18)BYU - 1pm on The Mtn.
BYU’s hopes of being a BCS buster are now shot, but they still will have a shot at the Mountain West title…if they get a little help. With the surprising loss at TCU still fresh on their minds, the Cougars will bounce back against UNLV this weekend.
My Picks… SU: BYU, ATS (BYU -22): UNLV
Eastern Michigan at (20)Ball State - 11am on CollegeSportsDirect
How about Ball State? The Fighting Lettermans are now 7-0 and appear to be unstoppable. Too bad they play in the MAC and are unlikely to get much more respect than they are receiving now. This game is looking like a blow out.
My Picks… Ball State, ATS (Ball State -24.5): Ball State
Virginia at (21)Georgia Tech - 2:30pm on ESPNU
So Georgia Tech survived a few tough weeks and now they seem to be on a roll despite some recent close games. But wow, where has Virginia come from? After being embarrassed by USC, UConn, and Duke, they suddenly look like a formidable opponent in the ACC cesspool. Georgia Tech seems to have the defensive edge, though. So, I’ll take the Yellow Jackets.
My Picks… SU: Georgia Tech, ATS (Georgia Tech -12): Georgia Tech
UCF at (22)Tulsa - Sunday 7pm on ESPN
If you’re a fan of offense, Tulsa should be one of your favorite teams. In last weeks game against UTEP, there was a combined 56 points… in the first quarter alone!!! Needless to say, it will look like another arena football game, and a whole bunch of points will be scored. Tulsa will continue to try to impress the world as a potential BCS buster.
My Picks… SU: Tulsa, ATS (Tulsa -23.5): Tulsa
(23)Boston College at North Carolina - 11am on Raycom Sports
Boston College is coming off a big win against their first real opponent of the season. North Carolina is coming off a disappointing loss at Virginia. But does this mean anything in the ACC? It may be best for me to flip a coin. I’ll go with the underdog.
My Picks… SU: Boston College, ATS (North Carolina -3): Boston College
Virginia Tech at (24)Florida State - 2:30pm on ABC/ESPN2 (Regional)
The ACC continues to fumble over itself. Here we are at week 9, and there’s a four-way tie in the Atlantic division. Florida State seems to be poised to make a run for the division thanks to Wake Forest’s collapse last week and continued disappointing second-half. Virginia Tech got their first conference loss at BC last week. As wildly inconsistent as the ACC has been, I’m almost tempted to just take the underdog by default. But I’ll go against my gut, and go with the favorite because Florida State has gotten the offense going over the past few weeks. Consequently, since I went with the underdog in the BC/UNC game, VaTech will probably win.
My Picks… SU: Florida State, ATS (Florida State -5): Florida State
(25)Minnesota at Purdue - 11am on ESPN Classic
Minnesota looks to continue it’s improbable run in the top tier of the Big 10 following a bye week. Purdue, meanwhile, has had a rather disappointing season, and highly-touted QB Curtis Painter has been a huge letdown. Although, to their credit, it’s been a pretty tough stretch of games including Oregon, Notre Dame, Penn State, Ohio State, and Northwestern. And they’ve played some of those teams (Oregon, Penn St, Ohio St) pretty tough. Still, after the loss to Northwestern last week, I have a hard time believing Purdue will turn things around against Minnesota.
My Picks… SU: Minnesota, ATS (Purdue -1): Minnesota
Other Relevant Match ups…
North Carolina State at Maryland - 2:30pm on ESPN 360
Stupid Maryland. They answered my question last week, and in resounding fashion. Now, which Maryland will show up this week? I’m afraid to pick against them.
My Picks… SU: Maryland, ATS (Maryland -11): NC State
Wake Forest at Miami FL - 11am on ESPNU
Despite Wake’s better attempts to stink up the place, this game is still relevant by virtue of the fact that rest of the ACC is so mediocre. Yes, Wake is tied for the lead in the ACC Atlantic, although Maryland now has a head-to-head edge over them. Miami may actually be one of the more consistent teams in the ACC. It turns out their three losses have come against teams that seem to be doing pretty well. They did struggle against UCF, but hey, that team is in state and had it out for them. Given recent trends, I’m going with the Canes this week.
My Picks… SU: Miami FL, ATS (Miami FL -3): Miami FL
Cincinnati at Connecticut - 11am on ESPN+
This game actually matters because Cincinnati shares a lead of the Big East. Granted, they’ve only played one game. But still. It’s actually pretty hard to make a case for the Bearcats, with very close wins against the likes of Akron and Rutgers. And UConn actually lost to Rutgers! Okay, maybe we should give Rutgers a little credit. But still. I’ll take Cincinnati as the “least bad” team.
My Picks… SU: Cincinnati, ATS (Cincinnati -1.5): Cincinnati
Central Michigan at Toledo - 11am on ESPN+
Why do we care about Central Michigan and Toledo? But of course, Central Michigan is tied with Ball State atop the MAC West. The Chippewas really aren’t that bad this year. They gave Purdue a heck of a fight. This game should be a struggle against a conference foe, but I’ll still with the pride of Mount Pleasant.
My Picks… SU: Central Michigan, ATS (Central Michigan -3.5): Central Michigan
Oregon at Arizona State - 9pm
Oregon is part of a four-way tie atop the Pac 10. Arizona State is in the midst of a down year, although the road to this point in the season has been a tough stretch including battles against Georgia, Cal, and USC. That’s why this should be a better game than the win/loss records indicate. Oregon’s defense should be the difference in this game.
My Picks… SU: Oregon, ATS: (Oregon -4): Oregon
Troy at North Texas - 6pm on CollegeSportsDirect
And who isn’t excited for this big Sun Belt match up between the league’s best and one of the league’s worst. The Mean Green have already lost their chance at a bowl game. Troy is tied at the top with Louisiana Lafayette. They seem to be doing well enough so far without Tony Franklin. This game shouldn’t even be close as Troy continues to fight for Sun Belt supremacy.
My Picks… SU: Troy, ATS (Troy -24.5): Troy